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Not Quite as Hot - 08/08/13

Who's ready for relief?  Don't get your hopes up for on and see why.

Our Heat Advisory ends at 7 PM and though the advisory had been extended until 7 PM Friday for Fayette County (La Grange area), the National Weather Service has cancelled the extension.  That's because temps and heat index values won't be quite as high.

Our streak of 11 days in the triple digits and 12 days without rain could finally end this weekend.  I'm forecasting highs Sunday and Monday of 99 degrees.  (I know, barely a break).  As for rain, the chances are slim for the Austin area but better as you head south and east.  A tropical wave near Bermuda now will continue westward and push toward South Texas late in the weekend.  We'll have small rain chances starting late Saturday.  I'm a little less optimistic with the rain chance now that I was 24 hours ago, I'm afraid.  Here's my thinking for our rain chances late Saturday and Sunday:
10% Chance Williamson/Travis/Hays/Milam County
20% Chance Lee & Bastrop County
30% Chance Fayette County 
Hill Country Stays Dry

The new Drought Monitor is out and shows very little change for Central Texas.  Extreme Drought persists for parts of Bastrop, Lee, Caldwell and Fayette Counties with Severe Drought for most of the rest of the KEYE-TV Viewing area.

NOAA released its mid-season hurricane outlook which calls for a 70% chance of an above-normal season.
13 to 19 Named Storms
6 to 9 Hurricanes
2 to 5 Major Hurricanes

This is slightly lower than the outlook issued in May, which called for 13 to 20 Named Storms, 7 to 11 Hurricanes, and 3 to 6 Major Hurricanes.  So far, we've had 4 Named Storms, most recently Dorian.  Hurricane Season peaks around September 10th.

Have a good one!

Chief Meteorologist Chikage Windler
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