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Watching the Tropics, Isolated Showers

 

Monday, September 1st, 2014

We did it again!  We hit 100 degrees for the 20th time this year Labor Day Monday.  That's not too unusual though.  Our average last 100-degree high is August 20th but the latest on record for Camp Mabry was October 2nd, 1938.  The last time we didn't hit 100 at least once in September was in 2007.

We closed the books on a very dry August - record dry, in fact, at the Airport!  ABIA logged only a "Trace" of rain during August - which ties along with 2011 & 1957 for driest on record.  Meanwhile, at Camp Mabry, 0.12" for the month was the 13th driest August on record.

While I'm not forecasting widespread or heavy rain, I did have small rain chances each day in your Storm Tracker 7 Day.  We're watching the newly formed Tropical Depression Five in the Bay of Campeche which is expected to develop into Tropical Storm Dolly before making landfall near Tampico, Mexico late Tuesday night.  Though that system is well south of Central Texas, we'll get extra clouds and extra moisture on the periphery of the storm which could be enough to bring some showers and isolated storms the next couple afternoons.  Best bet Tuesday: south and east of Austin.  Best bet Wednesday: south and southwest of Austin.  Some computer models even linger that area of low pressure in Mexico a couple extra days - so areas south and southwest of Austin may eek out a few more showers Thursday and Friday.

http://www.keyetv.com/weather/features/hurricane-tracker/?wap=0/

Finally, we're tracking a cold front that looks like it will probably dissipate before reaching Central Texas next weekend...but it could get close enough to bring us some showers.  It gets closest to us Sunday the 7th, so I've got a 20% rain chance in your forecast.

STORM TRACKER FORECAST

Monday Night
: 78 Mainly clear early, mostly cloudy late.  Winds: S 5-10
Tuesday: 97 Mostly cloudy morning, partly cloudy afternoon with a 20% chance of showers, mainly south/east.  Winds: S 5-15
Wednesday: 96 Mostly cloudy morning, partly cloudy afternoon with a 20% chance of showers, mainly south/southwest.  Winds: S 5-15 *Morning Low: 77
Thursday: 96 Mostly cloudy morning, partly cloudy afternoon with a 20% chance of showers, mainly southwest.  *Morning Low: 76
Friday: 96 Mostly cloudy morning, partly cloudy afternoon with a 10% chance of showers, mainly southwest.  *Morning Low: 75
Saturday: 96 Mostly cloudy morning, partly cloudy afternoon with a 10% chance of showers, mainly southeast.  *Morning Low: 75
Sunday: 96 Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/storms, best chance north.  *Morning Low: 74
Monday: 97 Partly cloudy with a 10% chance of showers/storms, best chance north.  *Morning Low: 73

Hope you had a great holiday weekend!
-Chikage

Chief Meteorologist Chikage Windler

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Email: chikage@keyetv.com

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KEYE TV Weather Anchors Chikage Windler Allison Miller Jordan Steele