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Cold Front Later This Week

 
Monday July 28th, 2014

We've been talking about it for a week now - another rare July cold front heading for Central Texas!  It's still heading here, but the heat relief may not come right away.  The front will be just barely to our north Monday night and Tuesday, it will lift into North Texas Wednesday, then finally push back south through Central Texas late Thursday.  Our best bet for rain?  Thursday night into Friday morning (40-50%).  Our best best for cool weather?  Friday and Saturday (highs in the upper 80s to low 90s).

But...before the cold front gets here, we could hit 100!  We were lucky enough to hit just 98 over the weekend officially at Camp Mabry but I've bumped our high to 99 Tuesday and 100 Wednesday ahead of the cold front.  We average 13 days of triple digit heat in Austin.  We've only had 2 this year (high was 99 Monday, but it did hit 100 at ABIA - the first of the year at the Airport).  For Camp Mabry, our most recent 100 was July 14th.

We could use some more rain!  Computer models aren't in very good agreement about how much rain we could get - but I have a hunch some locally heavy rain could be possible Thursday night into Friday morning with some pockets of 1-2" not out of the question.  That's assuming the cold front takes its sweet time moving through Central Texas and we have some "training" storms which move over the same areas.  If the front whips through and doesn't stop and smell the Austin roses, we could end up with more scattered rain to the tune of 1/4-1/2".  We could also get some rain Tuesday afternoon on a more spotty basis.  I've got our chance at 20% from about 2-8 PM.

In the Tropics, there's a system way out in the Atlantic with a 30% chance of developing (the next tropical storm in the Atlantic will be named Bertha) and in the Pacific, Tropical Storm Hernan is no threat to land.

http://www.keyetv.com/weather/features/hurricane-tracker/?wap=0/

STORM TRACKER FORECAST

Monday Night: 74 Few early evening showers possible north, otherwise mainly clear.  Winds: Light SE.
Tuesday: 99 Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/storms best chance north.  Winds: SE 5-10
Wednesday: 100 Mostly sunny and HOT!  Record is 104 set in 1957.  Winds: SE 5-15. *Morning Low: 74
Thursday: 97 Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/storms - mainly late.  *Morning Low: 75
Friday: 89 Mostly cloudy and cooler with rain likely in the early morning (50% chance) - possibly heavy.  *Morning Low: 73
Saturday: 90 Partly cloudy and unseasonably cool with a 10% chance of a shower - better chance south.  *Morning Low: 72
Sunday: 92 Partly cloudy.  Less humid. *Morning Low: 72
Monday: 94 Partly cloudy.  *Morning Low: 72

Take Care!
-Chikage

Chief Meteorologist Chikage Windler

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KEYE TV Weather Anchors Chikage Windler Allison Miller Jordan Steele